Tag Archives: MCX

ZINC – Still sometime to go short??

As most of the commodities are relaxing after last one and half months rally.  Similarly Zinc 1 month MCX contract is moving flat from last few days.  As on 28 Dec, 2012 Zinc closed at 111.35.  Last few days back it broke from its rising trendline, but as such we have not seen any follow through action barring few choppy sessions, but in last session prices has engulfed last fourteen trading sessions price movement and closed in red, at first instance which indicates that Bears are active now.  Momentum is fading to support the basis.  Based on above observations, I sense that if we see follow through action on Monday, than Zinc has potential to go down further.

ZINC - 111.35

                                                          ZINC – 111.35

I am little skeptical only because of Christmas & New year holiday in US.  Traders can take short position keeping trading stop loss of 113.40, with an initial target o 108.

 

ALUMINIUM – 111.60

As on 28th Dec, 2012 Aluminum 1 Month MCX contract closed at 111.60.  Here I see a minor selling opportunity for risk takers & aggressive traders, risk-averse can excuse at this point in time.  I am saying because I am little late in tapping the opportunity.

Technically, prices has broken out from one and half month rising trendline, and momentum is deteriorating.  MACD is already trading with bearish convergence and RSI is tilted downwards, indicating weakness in prices.

ALUMINIUM

Traders can short on rise or at CMP keeping stop loss of 113.40, if prices breaks below level of 111.10 than prices can move towards 109.50 and lower, and if not than prices can reverse the trend and continue to move higher.  As of now, I see selling opportunity with keeping strict stop loss.

NICKEL – 957.80

Nickel, after one and half months rally from low of 852 to high of 980, showing an initial sign of waning.  As we can see in below attached chart that, recently Nickel has broken its one and half month rising trend line.  Secondly, momentum oscillator MACD has given Bearish Convergence on daily chart, as well we can see that RSI is trading almost flat from last few days.  This gives us initial sign that momentum is waning, and if you are holding long Nickel than better book your partial profits here.  Confirmation of weakness comes in as and when Nickel close below 950 levels, and this will be the point where we like to go short in the counter, strategy should be taken according to risk appetite of individuals.

NICKEL AS ON 21 DEC 2012

NICKEL AS ON 21 DEC 2012